United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Iowa Senate

Marist College , 11 October 2026

Marist College has Josh Turek ahead of Ashley Hinson by 3 points in Iowa Senate, 48% to 45%. Since its previous poll (20 September 2026): Ashley Hinson +3 (42 → 45), Josh Turek −2 (50 → 48).

Race Iowa Senate
Fieldwork8 October 2026 – 11 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample– (likely voters)
Methodmulti-mode: live-interviewer phone, text, online
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Josh Turek D 48
Ashley HinsonAshley Hinson R 45
Undecided 4
Other 3

Margin on the decided vote: D+3.1; after our adjustments D+1.9, which includes a move of 0.3 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 4 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Josh Turek 48% against 46%.

Marist College's previous poll of this race, 20 September 2026 →

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ashley Hinson.

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