United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Florida Senate (special)

MDW Communications , 10 October 2026

MDW Communications has Ashley Moody ahead of Angie Nixon by 6 points in Florida Senate (special), 48% to 42%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.

Race Florida Senate (special)
Fieldwork4 October 2026 – 10 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample2,351 (likely voters)
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Ashley MoodyAshley Moody R 48
Angie NixonAngie Nixon D 42
Undecided 10

Margin on the decided vote: R+6.7; after our adjustments R+7.1, which includes a move of 0.3 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 4 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Ashley Moody 48% against 50.5%.

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ashley Moody.

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