United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Iowa Senate

YouGov , 12 October 2026

YouGov has Josh Turek ahead of Ashley Hinson by 1 points in Iowa Senate, 47% to 46%. Since its previous poll (8 September 2026): Josh Turek +3 (44 → 47), Ashley Hinson +3 (43 → 46).

Race Iowa Senate
Fieldwork6 October 2026 – 12 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample2,245 (likely voters)
Methodonline opt-in panel; sample matched to a frame drawn from the 2019 American Community Survey
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Josh Turek D 47
Ashley HinsonAshley Hinson R 46
Undecided 4
Other 2

Margin on the decided vote: D+1.1; after our adjustments R+0.1, which includes a move of 0.2 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 3 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Josh Turek 47% against 45%.

YouGov's previous poll of this race, 8 September 2026 →

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ashley Hinson.

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