Polls · Texas governor
University of Texas /Texas Politics Project , 5 October 2026
University of Texas /Texas Politics Project has Gina Hinojosa ahead of Greg Abbott by 1 points in Texas governor, 49% to 48%. Since its previous poll (13 August 2026): Gina Hinojosa +9 (40 → 49), Greg Abbott +3 (45 → 48).
| Race | Texas governor |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 25 September 2026 – 5 October 2026 |
| Stage | General election |
| Sample | 861 (likely voters) |
| Paid for by | Texas Politics Project |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes |
Main
 Gina Hinojosa D |
49 | |
 Greg Abbott R |
48 | |
| Other | 3 |
Margin on the decided vote: D+1.0; after our adjustments D+0.6, which includes a move of 0.5 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 8 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Gina Hinojosa 49% against 47%.
University of Texas /Texas Politics Project's previous poll of this race, 13 August 2026 →
Photo credits
- Gina Hinojosa: Photo: RRC1701, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Gina_Hinojosa_at_the_AFL-CIO_COPE_convention_in_2024.jpg)
- Greg Abbott: Photo: NASA Johnson Space Center / NASA-JSC/ROBERT MARKOWITZ, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Greg_Abbott_at_NASA_2024_(cropped).jpg)