Polls · Texas Senate
Marist College , 11 October 2026
Marist College has James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton by 2 points in Texas Senate, 47% to 45%. Since its previous poll (20 September 2026): James Talarico −3 (50 → 47), Ken Paxton +1 (44 → 45).
| Race | Texas Senate |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 8 October 2026 – 11 October 2026 |
| Stage | General election |
| Sample | – (likely voters) |
| Method | multi-mode: phone (live), text and online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes |
Marist Poll TX; crosstab "In November's election for Senate", likely voters row
Main
 James Talarico D |
47 | |
 Ken Paxton R |
45 | |
| Undecided | 4 | |
| Other | 2 |
Margin on the decided vote: D+2.1; after our adjustments D+0.9, which includes a move of 0.3 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 7 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Ken Paxton 45% against 47%.
Marist College's previous poll of this race, 20 September 2026 →
Photo credits
- James Talarico: Photo: Antonioaesparza, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:James_Talarico_Press_Conference_(cropped).jpg)
- Ken Paxton: Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:K_Paxton.jpg)