Polls · Texas Senate
Quantus Insights , 11 October 2026
Quantus Insights has Ken Paxton ahead of James Talarico by 0.5 points in Texas Senate, 47.2% to 46.7%. Since its previous poll (4 June 2026): James Talarico +3.7 (43 → 46.7), Ken Paxton +2.2 (45 → 47.2).
| Race | Texas Senate |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 9 October 2026 – 11 October 2026 |
| Stage | General election |
| Sample | 854 (likely voters) |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes |
Main
 Ken Paxton R |
47.2 | |
 James Talarico D |
46.7 | |
| Undecided | 3.9 | |
| Other | 2.2 |
Margin on the decided vote: R+0.5; after our adjustments R+0.2, which includes a move of 0.2 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 7 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Ken Paxton 47.2% against 45%.
Quantus Insights's previous poll of this race, 4 June 2026 →
Photo credits
- James Talarico: Photo: Antonioaesparza, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:James_Talarico_Press_Conference_(cropped).jpg)
- Ken Paxton: Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:K_Paxton.jpg)