United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Texas governor

GBAO , 8 October 2026

GBAO has Gina Hinojosa ahead of Greg Abbott by 2 points in Texas governor, 47% to 45%. Since its previous poll (9 August 2026): Greg Abbott −4 (49 → 45), Gina Hinojosa −1 (48 → 47).

Race Texas governor
Fieldwork5 October 2026 – 8 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample800 (likely voters)
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Gina HinojosaGina Hinojosa D 47
Greg AbbottGreg Abbott R 45
Other 4
Undecided 4

Margin on the decided vote: D+2.1; after our adjustments D+1.0, which includes a move of 0.3 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 6 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Greg Abbott 45% against 48%; Gina Hinojosa 47% against 48.5%.

GBAO's previous poll of this race, 9 August 2026 →

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