United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Minnesota's 1st district

SurveyUSA , 9 October 2026

SurveyUSA has Jake Johnson ahead of Brad Finstad by 2 points in Minnesota's 1st district, 46% to 44%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.

Race Minnesota's 1st district
Fieldwork4 October 2026 – 9 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample565 (likely voters)
Pollster's leanMostly works for Democrats
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Jake Johnson D 46
Brad FinstadBrad Finstad R 44
Undecided 10

Margin on the decided vote: D+2.2; after our adjustments R+0.7, which includes a move of 0.4 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Brad Finstad.

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