United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Florida governor

Change Research , 10 October 2026

Change Research has Byron Donalds and David Jolly level on 47% in Florida governor. Since its previous poll (27 September 2026): Byron Donalds +1 (46 → 47), David Jolly −1 (48 → 47).

Race Florida governor
Fieldwork8 October 2026 – 10 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample920 (likely voters)
Pollster's leanMostly works for Republicans
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Byron DonaldsByron Donalds R 47
David JollyDavid Jolly D 47
Undecided 5
Other 1

Margin on the decided vote: Even; after our adjustments D+2.8, which includes a move of 0.3 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 6 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: David Jolly 47% against 43.5%.

Change Research's previous poll of this race, 27 September 2026 →

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