Polls · Minnesota Senate
Mason-Dixon , 7 October 2026
Mason-Dixon has Peggy Flanagan ahead of Michele Tafoya by 4 points in Minnesota Senate, 47% to 43%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.
| Race | Minnesota Senate |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 5 October 2026 – 7 October 2026 |
| Stage | General election |
| Sample | 800 (likely voters) |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes |
Main
 Peggy Flanagan D |
47 | |
 Michele Tafoya R |
43 | |
| Undecided | 9 | |
| Other | 1 |
Margin on the decided vote: D+4.4; after our adjustments D+4.7, which includes a move of 0.4 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 5 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Peggy Flanagan 47% against 45%.
Photo credits
- Michele Tafoya: Photo: Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:MicheleTafoya2023.jpg)
- Peggy Flanagan: Photo: Travellers & Tinkers, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2026PeggyFlanagan_(newcropped).jpg)