United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · North Carolina's 1st district

co/efficient , 8 October 2026

co/efficient has Laurie Buckhout ahead of Don Davis by 1 points in North Carolina's 1st district, 43% to 42%. Since its previous poll (29 April 2026): Laurie Buckhout +2 (41 → 43), Don Davis +1 (41 → 42).

Race North Carolina's 1st district
Fieldwork6 October 2026 – 8 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample623 (likely voters)
Paid for byefficient (R)
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Laurie BuckhoutLaurie Buckhout R 43
Don DavisDon Davis D 42
Undecided 13
Tom Bailey 2

Margin on the decided vote: R+1.1; after our adjustments D+0.9, which includes a move of 0.4 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 2 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Don Davis 42% against 49%; Laurie Buckhout 43% against 40%.

co/efficient's previous poll of this race, 29 April 2026 →

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Don Davis.

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