United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Minnesota Senate

Rasmussen Reports , 7 October 2026

Rasmussen Reports has Peggy Flanagan ahead of Michele Tafoya by 3 points in Minnesota Senate, 48% to 45%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.

Race Minnesota Senate
Fieldwork5 October 2026 – 7 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample856 (likely voters)
Pollster's leanMostly works for Democrats
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Peggy FlanaganPeggy Flanagan D 48
Michele TafoyaMichele Tafoya R 45
Undecided 7

Margin on the decided vote: D+3.2; after our adjustments D+1.6, which includes a move of 0.4 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 5 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Peggy Flanagan 48% against 45%; Michele Tafoya 45% against 42%.

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