Polls · Minnesota Senate
Morning Consult , 7 October 2026
Morning Consult has Peggy Flanagan ahead of Michele Tafoya by 4 points in Minnesota Senate, 45% to 41%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.
| Race | Minnesota Senate |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 2 October 2026 – 7 October 2026 |
| Stage | General election |
| Sample | 1,000 (registered voters) |
| Pollster's lean | Mostly works for Democrats |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes |
Main
 Peggy Flanagan D |
45 | |
 Michele Tafoya R |
41 | |
| Undecided | 12 | |
| Other | 2 |
Margin on the decided vote: D+4.5; after our adjustments D+1.1, which includes a move of 0.4 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 5 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Peggy Flanagan 45% against 47%; Michele Tafoya 41% against 43%.
Photo credits
- Michele Tafoya: Photo: Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:MicheleTafoya2023.jpg)
- Peggy Flanagan: Photo: Travellers & Tinkers, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2026PeggyFlanagan_(newcropped).jpg)