United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Iowa Senate

Emerson College , 6 October 2026

Emerson College has Ashley Hinson ahead of Josh Turek by 2 points in Iowa Senate, 47% to 45%. Since its previous poll (1 September 2026): Ashley Hinson −3 (50 → 47).

Race Iowa Senate
Fieldwork5 October 2026 – 6 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample650 (likely voters)
Methodtext-to-web to voter-file sample (MMS) plus online panel interviews; matched to the Aristotle voter file
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Ashley HinsonAshley Hinson R 47
Josh Turek D 45
Undecided 7
Other 2

Margin on the decided vote: R+2.1; after our adjustments R+1.1, which includes a move of 0.5 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 7 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Ashley Hinson 47% against 45%; Josh Turek 45% against 47%.

Emerson College's previous poll of this race, 1 September 2026 →

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ashley Hinson.

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