United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Kentucky's 6th district

Change Research , 5 October 2026

Change Research has Zach Dembo ahead of Ralph Alvarado by 9 points in Kentucky's 6th district, 47% to 38%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.

Race Kentucky's 6th district
Fieldwork29 September 2026 – 5 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample524 (likely voters)
Pollster's leanMostly works for Democrats
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Zach Dembo D 47
Ralph AlvaradoRalph Alvarado R 38
Undecided 8
Other 7

Margin on the decided vote: D+9.8; after our adjustments D+7.7, which includes a move of 0.5 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 3 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Ralph Alvarado 38% against 40%.

Photo credits

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