United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Florida Senate (special)

St. Pete Polls , 7 October 2026

St. Pete Polls has Ashley Moody ahead of Angie Nixon by 2 points in Florida Senate (special), 47% to 45%. Since its previous poll (17 September 2026): Ashley Moody +2 (45 → 47).

Race Florida Senate (special)
Fieldwork5 October 2026 – 7 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample836 (likely voters)
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Ashley MoodyAshley Moody R 47
Angie NixonAngie Nixon D 45
Undecided 6
Other 2

Margin on the decided vote: R+2.1; after our adjustments R+2.8, which includes a move of 0.4 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 5 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Ashley Moody 47% against 50%; Angie Nixon 45% against 42%.

St. Pete Polls's previous poll of this race, 17 September 2026 →

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ashley Moody.

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