United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Michigan Senate

Quantus Insights , 6 October 2026

Quantus Insights has Abdul El-Sayed ahead of Mike Rogers by 1 points in Michigan Senate, 48% to 47%. Since its previous poll (30 June 2026): Abdul El-Sayed +3 (45 → 48), Mike Rogers +3 (44 → 47).

Race Michigan Senate
Fieldwork5 October 2026 – 6 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample762 (likely voters)
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed D 48
Mike RogersMike Rogers R 47
Undecided 4
Other 2

Margin on the decided vote: D+1.0; after our adjustments D+1.6, which includes a move of 0.5 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 7 other polls of this race taken within a week of it.

Quantus Insights's previous poll of this race, 30 June 2026 →

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Mike Rogers.

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