United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Alaska governor

Alaska Survey Research , 3 October 2026

Alaska Survey Research has Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins ahead of Bernadette Wilson by 21 points in Alaska governor, 48% to 27%. Since its previous poll (1 July 2026): Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins +32 (16 → 48), Bernadette Wilson +5 (22 → 27), Dave Bronson −2 (17 → 15).

Race Alaska governor
Fieldwork1 October 2026 – 3 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample1,512 (likely voters)
Pollster's leanMostly works for Democrats
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 48
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson R 27
Dave BronsonDave Bronson R 15
Treg Taylor R 10
RCV round 1

Margin on the decided vote: R+4.0; after our adjustments R+6.8, which includes a move of 0.5 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 2 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 48% against 42%; Bernadette Wilson 27% against 22%.

Alaska Survey Research's previous poll of this race, 1 July 2026 →

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