United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Wisconsin's 1st district

Impact Research , 1 October 2026

Impact Research has Mitchell Berman ahead of Bryan Steil by 1 points in Wisconsin's 1st district, 48% to 47%. Since its previous poll (9 August 2026): Bryan Steil −2 (49 → 47).

Race Wisconsin's 1st district
Fieldwork28 September 2026 – 1 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample500 (likely voters)
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Mitchell Berman D 48
Bryan SteilBryan Steil R 47
Undecided 5

Margin on the decided vote: D+1.1; after our adjustments D+0.8, which includes a move of 0.5 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Impact Research's previous poll of this race, 9 August 2026 →

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Bryan Steil.

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