How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 77 for 4 November 2026.
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1In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen wins”?
93%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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2Who leads the polls in Italy?
FdI on 27.7% in our average, ahead of PD on 20.3%. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2013 election?
M5S with 25.6%, ahead of PD on 25.4%. See the page
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4In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Philippe wins”?
6%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5At which election since 2000 were Spain's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.0 point out per party on average. See the page
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6Which party has gained most in the polls since Spain's last election (23 July 2023)?
Vox: 12.4% then, 19.0% in our average now (+6.6 points). See the page
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7Which party has lost most support since Canada's last election (28 April 2025)?
Conservative: 41.3% then, 30.7% in our average now (−10.6 points). See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give KO in the Sejm in Poland?
191 in our projection, 40 short of a majority. See the page
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9Who leads the polls in Canada?
Liberal on 46.2% in our average, ahead of Conservative on 30.7%. See the page
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10To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2019 election?
41.4%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.