How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 76 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did KO win at Poland's 2011 election?
39.2%. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did FI win at Italy's 2008 election?
37.4%. See the page
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3Who leads the polls in the United Kingdom?
Labour on 28.6% in our average, ahead of Conservative on 22.1%. See the page
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4In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority”?
7%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5Which party won the most votes at France's 2012 election?
PS with 28.6%, ahead of LR on 27.2%. See the page
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6At the Netherlands' 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 3 final polls. See the page
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7In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens majority”?
97%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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8Which party has gained most in the polls since Spain's last election (23 July 2023)?
Vox: 12.4% then, 19.0% in our average now (+6.6 points). See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2025 election?
Labor with 34.6%, ahead of Coalition on 31.8%. See the page
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10How many seats does our forecast give Labor in the House of Representatives in Australia?
54 in our projection. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.