How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 69 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?
43.4%. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?
37.7%. See the page
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3In the United States, what chance does our forecast give for “Democratic House majority”?
90%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2016 election?
PP with 32.6%, ahead of PSOE on 22.6%. See the page
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5Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2023 election?
PP with 33.1%, ahead of PSOE on 31.7%. See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls furthest out?
2004: 2.0 points out per party on average. See the page
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7At which election since 2000 were the United States' final polls closest to the result?
2004: 0.1 points out per party on average. See the page
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8In Poland, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
PiS: up 0.8 points, now 22.5%. See the page
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9How many seats does our forecast give Left (NFP and other left) in the Assemblée nationale in France?
282 in our projection, 7 short of a majority. See the page
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10At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
M5S: 13.5% in the final polls, 15.4% on the day. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.