How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 38 for 4 November 2026.
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1Which party has gained most in the polls since Germany's last election (23 February 2025)?
AfD: 20.8% then, 27.4% in our average now (+6.6 points). See the page
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2In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Centre-left majority in both chambers”?
60%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did SPD win at Germany's 2021 election?
25.7%. See the page
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4How many seats does our forecast give PRO in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
28 in our projection, 48 short of a majority. See the page
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5Which party has gained most in the polls since Australia's last election?
One Nation: 6.4% then, 26.2% in our average now (+19.8 points). See the page
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6Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2021 election?
Conservative with 33.7%, ahead of Liberal on 32.6%. See the page
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7At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lab: 38.9% in the final polls, 34.7% on the day. See the page
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8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Conservative win at Canada's 2021 election?
33.7%. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2015 election?
PiS with 37.6%, ahead of KO on 31.7%. See the page
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10At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Con: 21.1% in the final polls, 24.4% on the day. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.