How well do you know the polls in the US?

1. 1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Democrat win at the United States' 2020 election?

   43% 51% 55% 59%

2. 2At which election since 2000 were the United States' final polls furthest out?

   2020 2024 2008 2016

3. 3At which election since 2000 were the United States' final polls closest to the result?

   2012 2004 2016 2008

4. 4In the United States, what chance does our forecast give for “Democratic Senate control”?

   43% 58% 68% 83%

5. 5In the United States, what chance does our forecast give for “Democratic House majority”?

   50% 65% 75% 90%

6. 6At the United States' 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.5 points 2.0 points 3.0 points 4.5 points

7. 7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Democrat win at the United States' 2016 election?

   40% 44% 48% 52%

8. 8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Republican win at the United States' 2024 election?

   42% 50% 54% 58%

9. 9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Democrat win at the United States' 2012 election?

   43% 47% 51% 55%

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.