How well do you know the polls in Poland?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 12 for 3 November 2026.
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1How many seats does our forecast give PiS in the Sejm in Poland?
132 in our projection. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2019 election?
43.6%. See the page
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3At Poland's 2023 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PiS: 36.8% in the final polls, 35.4% on the day. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2011 election?
KO with 39.2%, ahead of PiS on 29.9%. See the page
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5At Poland's 2023 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
TD: 10.7% in the final polls, 14.4% on the day. See the page
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6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2015 election?
37.6%. See the page
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7In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority”?
7%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did KO win at Poland's 2011 election?
39.2%. See the page
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9At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls closest to the result?
2015: 0.5 points out per party on average. See the page
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10In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Right-wing majority”?
91%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.