How well do you know the polls in the UK?

1. 1How many seats does our forecast give Labour in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?

   248 326 365 404

2. 2At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   Reform Lib Dem Lab Con

3. 3In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Majority for any one party”?

   6% 46% 71% 86%

4. 4Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?

   Con Lab Lib Dem Green

5. 5How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?

   117 153 171 189

6. 6At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   Lib Dem Con Reform Lab

7. 7At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 2.0 points 3.0 points 4.0 points

8. 8At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls closest to the result?

   2019 2017 2015 2024

9. 9Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?

   Lib Dem Lab Con Reform

10. 10To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Lab win at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?

    27% 35% 39% 43%

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.