How well do you know the polls in Italy?

1. 1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2018 election?

   25% 29% 33% 41%

2. 2At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls furthest out?

   2018 2008 2001 2013

3. 3At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls closest to the result?

   2018 2022 2008 2006

4. 4At Italy's 2022 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 2.0 points 4.0 points 6.0 points

5. 5How many seats does our forecast give Centre-left in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?

   169 196 223 250

6. 6Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2018 election?

   Lega PD M5S FI

7. 7In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Centre-left majority in both chambers”?

   20% 35% 60% 85%

8. 8At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   Lega M5S FdI PD

9. 9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2013 election?

   18% 26% 30% 34%

10. 10Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2022 election?

    Lega PD FdI M5S

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.