How well do you know the polls in Italy?

1. 1In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Centre-left majority in both chambers”?

   20% 35% 60% 85%

2. 2Which party has lost most support since Italy's last election (25 September 2022)?

   Lega NM PD +Europa

3. 3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did FI win at Italy's 2008 election?

   29% 33% 37% 41%

4. 4At Italy's 2022 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   PD M5S Lega FdI

5. 5How many seats does our forecast give Centre-left in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?

   169 223 250 277

6. 6In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Lega clears 3%”?

   48% 63% 73% 88%

7. 7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2013 election?

   22% 26% 30% 34%

8. 8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did FdI win at Italy's 2022 election?

   18% 22% 26% 34%

9. 9How many seats does our forecast give Centre-right in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?

   109 126 143 177

10. 10At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls closest to the result?

    2001 2022 2018 2008

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.