How well do you know the polls in France?

1. 1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Ensemble win at France's 2017 election?

   16% 24% 28% 32%

2. 2In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Philippe wins”?

   6% 21% 31% 46%

3. 3How many seats does our forecast give Left (NFP and other left) in the Assemblée nationale in France?

   216 250 284 318

4. 4At France's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   0.5 points 1.0 point 1.5 points 3.0 points

5. 5At France's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   RN + allies Ensemble Left (NFP) LR

6. 6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did LR win at France's 2007 election?

   27% 31% 35% 39%

7. 7Who leads the polls in France?

   Glucksmann Le Pen Zemmour Retailleau

8. 8In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen wins”?

   53% 68% 78% 93%

9. 9How many seats does our forecast give RN and allies in the Assemblée nationale in France?

   108 123 138 153

10. 10Which party won the most votes at France's 2012 election?

    RN LR LFI PS

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.