How well do you know the polls in Germany?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 98 for 4 November 2026.
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1Who leads the polls in Germany?
AfD on 27.4% in our average, ahead of CDU/CSU on 20.5%. See the page
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2Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2021 election?
SPD with 25.7%, ahead of CDU/CSU on 24.1%. See the page
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3At which election since 2000 were Germany's final polls closest to the result?
2021: 0.7 points out per party on average. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2017 election?
CDU/CSU with 32.9%, ahead of SPD on 20.5%. See the page
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5At which election since 2000 were Germany's final polls furthest out?
2005: 2.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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6At Germany's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.2 points per party, over 13 final polls. See the page
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7In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens”?
97%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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8Which pollster's final polls have been closest to the result in Germany?
Wahlkreisprognose: 0.8 points out per party on average over 2 elections, the best of 4. See the page
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9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did SPD win at Germany's 2021 election?
25.7%. See the page
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10In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “BSW clears 5%”?
5%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.