How well do you know the polls in Germany?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 54 for 4 November 2026.
-
1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did CDU/CSU win at Germany's 2017 election?
32.9%. See the page
-
2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did CDU/CSU win at Germany's 2013 election?
41.5%. See the page
-
3At Germany's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
SPD: 15.2% in the final polls, 16.4% on the day. See the page
-
4Which party has gained most in the polls since Germany's last election (23 February 2025)?
AfD: 20.8% then, 27.4% in our average now (+6.6 points). See the page
-
5Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2021 election?
SPD with 25.7%, ahead of CDU/CSU on 24.1%. See the page
-
6At which election since 2000 were Germany's final polls furthest out?
2005: 2.3 points out per party on average. See the page
-
7At which election since 2000 were Germany's final polls closest to the result?
2021: 0.7 points out per party on average. See the page
-
8Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2013 election?
CDU/CSU with 41.5%, ahead of SPD on 25.7%. See the page
-
9Which party has lost most support since Germany's last election (23 February 2025)?
CDU/CSU: 28.5% then, 20.5% in our average now (−8.0 points). See the page
-
10In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens majority”?
97%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.