Poland Parliamentary electionby 11 Nov 2027in 374 days Government majority 7% Right-wing majority 91% Calendar Track record Research

Gielniów (rural): PiS would still come first on today's polls

Gielniów (rural) (Mazowieckie) has 3,519 voters. Below: how it voted at the Sejm election of October 2023, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. The next local elections are in spring 2029.

Today's polls here, against the Sejm election of October 2023

  1. PiS 69.2% → 51.5%
  2. Konfederacja 5.8% → 22.4%
  3. KO 6.6% → 9.7%
  4. Rozwój Plus 0.0% → 5.7%
  5. Lewica 3.3% → 5.5%
  6. Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 12.7% → 4.6%
  7. Others 2.5% → 0.7%

Pale bar: the Sejm election of October 2023; solid: today's national polls carried down to Gielniów (rural) (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every gmina adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Poland forecast →

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What if the national vote changes? Every gmina

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 2,494 gminy with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Gielniów (rural)

Gielniów (rural) has 3,519 voters, the 259th largest of 331 in Mazowieckie and 1974th of 2,494 across Poland.

At the Sejm election of October 2023 it voted PiS 69.2%, Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 12.7%, KO 6.6%. PiS did 33 points better here than across Poland.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has PiS on 51.5% and Konfederacja on 22.4%.

Gminy of a similar size in Mazowieckie

Every gmina in Mazowieckie → · All of Poland →

Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza: Sejm election of 15 October 2023, list votes by gmina.