Belsk Duży (rural): PiS would still come first on today's polls
Belsk Duży (rural) (Mazowieckie) has 5,117 voters. Below: how it voted at the Sejm election of October 2023, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. The next local elections are in spring 2029.
- 5,117voters
- 26.1%PiS on today's polls (Poland: 22.5%)
- 40.2%PiS, first at the Sejm election of October 2023
Today's polls here, against the Sejm election of October 2023
- PiS 40.2% → 26.1%
- Konfederacja 7.6% → 25.7%
- KO 14.6% → 18.8%
- Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 28.7% → 14.6%
- Lewica 5.6% → 8.3%
- Rozwój Plus 0.0% → 5.5%
- Others 3.3% → 0.9%
Pale bar: the Sejm election of October 2023; solid: today's national polls carried down to Belsk Duży (rural) (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every gmina adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Poland forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every gmina
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 2,494 gminy with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About Belsk Duży (rural)
Belsk Duży (rural) has 5,117 voters, the 176th largest of 331 in Mazowieckie and 1426th of 2,494 across Poland.
At the Sejm election of October 2023 it voted PiS 40.2%, Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 28.7%, KO 14.6%. KO did 16 points worse here than across Poland.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has PiS on 26.1% and Konfederacja on 25.7%.
Gminy of a similar size in Mazowieckie
- Lubowidz (rural)5,097 voters · PiS first
- Sierpc (rural)5,151 voters · PiS first
- Górzno (rural)5,159 voters · PiS first
- Sobienie-Jeziory (rural)5,020 voters · PiS first
- Radziejowice (rural)5,218 voters · KO first
- Poświętne (rural)4,980 voters · PiS first
- Nowa Sucha (rural)5,277 voters · PiS first
- Jednorożec (rural)5,280 voters · PiS first
Every gmina in Mazowieckie → · All of Poland →
Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza: Sejm election of 15 October 2023, list votes by gmina.