New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election
SWG S.p.A., 26 October 2026
SWG S.p.A. has FdI ahead of PD by 8.7 points, 29.3% to 20.6%. Since its previous poll (19 October 2026): FdI +1.2 (28.1 → 29.3).
| Fieldwork | 21 October 2026 – 26 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 1,200 |
| Method | mixed CATI-CAMI-CAWI (weekly national sample of 1200) |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 FdI |
29.3 |
 PD |
20.6 |
 M5S |
12.4 |
 FI |
7.4 |
 AVS |
6.3 |
| FN | 5.6 |
 Lega |
5.4 |
| Others | 3.2 |
 Azione |
3.1 |
 IV |
2.3 |
 +Europa |
1.4 |
 NM |
1 |
| ScN | 1 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 12 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: FN 5.6% against 7.1%.