Ceglie Messapica: FdI would still come first on today's polls
Ceglie Messapica (Puglia) has 15,708 voters. Below: how it voted at the general election of September 2022, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. Each comune elects its mayor and council every five years, on its own cycle.
- 15,708voters
- 37.0%FdI on today's polls (Italy: 27.6%)
- 35.2%FdI, first at the general election of September 2022
Today's polls here, against the general election of September 2022
- FdI 35.2% → 37.0%
- M5S 23.3% → 17.5%
- PD 10.8% → 12.1%
- FI 12.8% → 10.8%
- FN 0.0% → 6.8%
- AVS 2.8% → 5.3%
- Lega 4.8% → 3.0%
- Action, Italia Viva 3.8% → 2.7%
- NM 0.4% → 1.1%
- +Europa 1.7% → 0.8%
- Others 4.4% → 3.0%
Pale bar: the general election of September 2022; solid: today's national polls carried down to Ceglie Messapica (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every comune adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Italy forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every comune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 7,830 comuni with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
4 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ceglie Messapica
Ceglie Messapica has 15,708 voters, the 50th largest of 257 in Puglia and 509th of 7,830 across Italy.
At the general election of September 2022 it voted FdI 35.2%, M5S 23.3%, FI 12.8%. FdI did 9 points better here than across Italy.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has FdI on 37% and M5S on 17.5%.
Comuni of a similar size in Puglia
- Casamassima15,679 voters · FdI first
- Noci15,568 voters · PD first
- Casarano16,051 voters · FdI first
- San Vito Dei Normanni15,262 voters · FdI first
- Castellana Grotte16,178 voters · PD first
- Giovinazzo16,555 voters · FdI first
- Acquaviva Delle Fonti16,576 voters · FdI first
- Gallipoli16,610 voters · FdI first
Every comune in Puglia → · All of Italy →
Ministero dell'Interno, Eligendo open data: Camera dei deputati, 25 September 2022, proportional list votes by comune (Valle d'Aosta, which elects by one constituency vote only, is not included).