Ostiglia: FdI would still come first on today's polls
Ostiglia (Lombardia) has 4,774 voters. Below: how it voted at the general election of September 2022, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. Each comune elects its mayor and council every five years, on its own cycle.
- 4,774voters
- 33.5%FdI on today's polls (Italy: 27.6%)
- 32.0%FdI, first at the general election of September 2022
Today's polls here, against the general election of September 2022
- FdI 32.0% → 33.5%
- PD 20.8% → 22.5%
- Lega 12.2% → 8.2%
- FN 0.0% → 6.8%
- FI 7.3% → 6.0%
- AVS 3.0% → 5.5%
- M5S 7.5% → 5.4%
- Action, Italia Viva 7.1% → 5.0%
- +Europa 2.7% → 1.4%
- NM 0.6% → 1.1%
- Others 6.8% → 4.7%
Pale bar: the general election of September 2022; solid: today's national polls carried down to Ostiglia (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every comune adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Italy forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every comune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 7,830 comuni with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Ostiglia
Ostiglia has 4,774 voters, the 368th largest of 1,506 in Lombardia and 2013th of 7,830 across Italy.
At the general election of September 2022 it voted FdI 32%, PD 20.8%, Lega 12.2%. M5S did 8 points worse here than across Italy.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has FdI on 33.5% and PD on 22.5%.
Comuni of a similar size in Lombardia
- Torbole Casaglia4,775 voters · FdI first
- Ranica4,759 voters · FdI first
- Venegono Inferiore4,756 voters · FdI first
- Verdellino4,754 voters · FdI first
- Prevalle4,804 voters · FdI first
- Livigno4,805 voters · FdI first
- Rovello Porro4,736 voters · FdI first
- San Martino Siccomario4,818 voters · FdI first
Every comune in Lombardia → · All of Italy →
Ministero dell'Interno, Eligendo open data: Camera dei deputati, 25 September 2022, proportional list votes by comune (Valle d'Aosta, which elects by one constituency vote only, is not included).