France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Montmagny: Belkacem Chikh's list won the town hall in 2026; Jean-Luc Mélenchon would lead here in 2027

Montmagny (Val-d'Oise, INSEE 95427) has 8,339 registered voters. Its council has 33 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 4,243 voted, 4,173 valid votes

  1. MONTMAGNY UN NOUVEAU DEPARTLed by Belkacem Chikh · Miscellaneous left 49.8% · 2,078 · 25 seats
  2. ENSEMBLE AGISSONS POUR MONTMAGNYLed by François Rose · Miscellaneous right 40.7% · 1,697 · 7 seats
  3. UNIS POUR MONTMAGNYLed by Bakhta Maiche · Miscellaneous right 9.5% · 398 · 1 seat

Round one, 15 March · 3,792 voted, 3,705 valid votes

  1. MONTMAGNY UN NOUVEAU DEPARTMiscellaneous left 41.8% · 1,548
  2. ENSEMBLE AGISSONS POUR MONTMAGNYMiscellaneous right 37.6% · 1,394
  3. UNIS POUR MONTMAGNYMiscellaneous right 20.6% · 763

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Montmagny

Montmagny is a commune in Val-d'Oise with 8,339 registered voters, the 31st largest of the département's 183 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 45.5% of them voted, fewer than the 50.1% across Val-d'Oise, and the list led by Belkacem Chikh won 25 of the council's 33 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 46.1%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.6%, National Rally 12.1%. France Unbowed did 24 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Jean-Luc Mélenchon ahead on 38.3%, with Marine Le Pen on 22.2%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Montmagny from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 38.3% · France 16.8%
  2. Marine Le PenNational Rally 22.2% · France 34.2%
  3. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.1% · France 14.3%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.6% · France 13.4%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 7.0% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.3% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 1.8% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.7% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.5% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 46.1% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.6% · National Rally 12.1% · Reconquête 6.1% · Republicans 3.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Val-d'Oise

Every commune in Val-d'Oise → · All of France →