France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Le Havre: Edouard Philippe's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Le Havre (Seine-Maritime, INSEE 76351) has 103,918 registered voters. Its council has 59 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 55,845 voted, 54,813 valid votes

  1. Le Havre !Led by Edouard Philippe · Union of the centre 47.7% · 26,150 · 44 seats
  2. Avec Jean-Paul LECOQ, mieux vivre ensemble au HavreLed by Jean-Paul Lecoq · Union of the left 41.2% · 22,569 · 12 seats
  3. LE HAVRE D'ABORD, LES HAVRAIS TOUJOURS !Led by Franck Keller · Union of the far right 11.1% · 6,094 · 3 seats

Round one, 15 March · 54,469 voted, 53,359 valid votes

  1. Le Havre !Union of the centre 43.8% · 23,350
  2. Avec Jean-Paul LECOQ, mieux vivre ensemble au HavreUnion of the left 33.2% · 17,741
  3. LE HAVRE D'ABORD, LES HAVRAIS TOUJOURS !Union of the far right 15.3% · 8,166
  4. LE HAVRE INSOUMISFrance Unbowed 4.0% · 2,134
  5. LA VILLE EST A VOUSMiscellaneous left 2.0% · 1,059
  6. LE HAVRE EN DÉBATMiscellaneous left 1.0% · 558
  7. LUTTE OUVRIÈRE - LE CAMP DES TRAVAILLEURSFar left 0.7% · 351

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Le Havre

Le Havre is a commune in Seine-Maritime with 103,918 registered voters, the largest of the département's 707 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 52.4% of them voted, fewer than the 56.1% across Seine-Maritime, and the list led by Edouard Philippe won 44 of the council's 59 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 30.2%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 27.5%, National Rally 20.7%. France Unbowed did 8 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 32.7%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 23.5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Le Havre from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 32.7% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 23.5% · France 16.8%
  3. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 14.4% · France 14.3%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.2% · France 13.4%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.3% · France 7.6%
  6. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 3.5% · France 2.0%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 2.6% · France 2.9%
  8. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.6% · France 3.8%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.6% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 30.2% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 27.5% · National Rally 20.7% · Reconquête 4.8% · Greens 4.1%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Seine-Maritime

Every commune in Seine-Maritime → · All of France →