La Frénaye: Notre commune Votre avenir won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
La Frénaye (Seine-Maritime, INSEE 76281) has 1,521 registered voters. Its council has 19 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 1,521registered voters
- 71%turnout, 2026 round one
- 42.6%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 1,074 voted, 1,049 valid votes
- Notre commune Votre avenirNo label (small commune) 53.9% · 565 · 15 seats
- Bien vivre à la FrénayeNo label (small commune) 46.1% · 484 · 4 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About La Frénaye
La Frénaye is a commune in Seine-Maritime with 1,521 registered voters, the 91st largest of the département's 707 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 70.6% of them voted, more than the 56.1% across Seine-Maritime, and Notre commune Votre avenir won 15 of the council's 19 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 31%, National Rally 29.7%, France Unbowed 15.9%. National Rally did 6 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 42.6%, with Édouard Philippe on 16.3%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to La Frénaye from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 42.6% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 16.3% · France 14.3%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.9% · France 13.4%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 11.4% · France 16.8%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.6% · France 7.6%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 3.5% · France 2.0%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.8% · France 2.1%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.2% · France 3.8%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.6% · France 2.9%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.1% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 31.0% · National Rally 29.7% · France Unbowed 15.9% · Reconquête 4.4% · Communist Party 3.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Seine-Maritime
- Aumale1,520 voters · No label (small commune)
- Envermeu1,514 voters · No label (small commune)
- Préaux1,530 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Jouin-Bruneval1,556 voters · No label (small commune)
- Rouxmesnil-Bouteilles1,562 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Martin-du-Vivier1,562 voters · No label (small commune)
- Les Grandes-Ventes1,479 voters · No label (small commune)
- Jumièges1,444 voters · No label (small commune)