Vaux-le-Pénil: Nathalie Beaulnes-Sereni's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Vaux-le-Pénil (Seine-et-Marne, INSEE 77487) has 8,549 registered voters. Its council has 33 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 8,549registered voters
- 56%turnout, 2026 round one
- 32.4%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round two, 22 March · 4,784 voted, 4,678 valid votes
- VAUX-LE-PENIL, NOTRE VILLE, NOTRE VIE !Led by Nathalie Beaulnes-Sereni · Miscellaneous right 50.0% · 2,341 · 25 seats
- AVEC VOUS POUR VAUX-LE-PÉNIL, NOTRE BIEN COMMUNLed by Julien Guérin · Miscellaneous left 38.0% · 1,779 · 6 seats
- PROTÉGER VAUX LE PÉNILLed by Clodi Pratola · Union of the far right 11.9% · 558 · 2 seats
Round one, 15 March · 4,757 voted, 4,658 valid votes
- VAUX-LE-PENIL, NOTRE VILLE, NOTRE VIE !Miscellaneous right 39.4% · 1,834
- AVEC VOUS POUR VAUX-LE-PÉNIL, NOTRE BIEN COMMUNMiscellaneous left 31.6% · 1,473
- PROTÉGER VAUX LE PÉNILUnion of the far right 18.5% · 860
- VAUX-LE-PENIL, ENSEMBLE POUR DEMAINMiscellaneous left 10.5% · 491
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Vaux-le-Pénil
Vaux-le-Pénil is a commune in Seine-et-Marne with 8,549 registered voters, the 29th largest of the département's 506 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 55.6% of them voted, more than the 51.6% across Seine-et-Marne, and the list led by Nathalie Beaulnes-Sereni won 25 of the council's 33 seats after a second round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 27.6%, France Unbowed 24.5%, National Rally 20.8%.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 32.4%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 18.3%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Vaux-le-Pénil from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 32.4% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 18.3% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.3% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 14.2% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.7% · France 7.6%
- Marine TondelierGreens 3.6% · France 2.9%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.6% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.4% · France 2.1%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.0% · France 2.0%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.5% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 27.6% · France Unbowed 24.5% · National Rally 20.8% · Reconquête 6.9% · Greens 5.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Seine-et-Marne
- Claye-Souilly8,557 voters · Miscellaneous centre
- Lognes8,571 voters · Socialist
- Montévrain8,319 voters · Miscellaneous
- Avon8,864 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Vaires-sur-Marne9,135 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Montereau-Fault-Yonne9,196 voters · UDI
- Noisiel9,325 voters · Union of the left
- Coulommiers9,348 voters · Miscellaneous centre