France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
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Baillif: BAILLIF DYNAMIQUE AVEC VOUS ET POUR VOUS won the town hall in 2026; Jean-Luc Mélenchon would lead here in 2027

Baillif (Guadeloupe, INSEE 97104) has 4,641 registered voters. Its council has 28 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 2,700 voted, 2,541 valid votes

  1. BAILLIF DYNAMIQUE AVEC VOUS ET POUR VOUSSocialist 64.8% · 1,647 · 23 seats
  2. NOUVEL ELAN POU BAYIFMiscellaneous centre 35.2% · 894 · 5 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

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About Baillif

Baillif is a commune in Guadeloupe with 4,641 registered voters, the 25th largest of the département's 32 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 58.2% of them voted, more than the 52.4% across Guadeloupe, and BAILLIF DYNAMIQUE AVEC VOUS ET POUR VOUS won 23 of the council's 28 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 53.3%, National Rally 18.4%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 13.5%. France Unbowed did 31 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Jean-Luc Mélenchon ahead on 38.3%, with Marine Le Pen on 26.2%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Baillif from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 38.3% · France 16.8%
  2. Marine Le PenNational Rally 26.2% · France 34.2%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 19.4% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 6.2% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.7% · France 7.6%
  6. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.1% · France 2.1%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 0.8% · France 3.8%
  8. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.5% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 53.3% · National Rally 18.4% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 13.5% · Socialists 4.4% · Republicans 3.7%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Guadeloupe

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