España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

María de Huerva: no list would have a majority, PP largest

María de Huerva (Zaragoza, 6,168 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 35.0% of the vote (2023: 35.0%) Majority 8%
PMDH±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 24.3% of the vote (2023: 28.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.9% of the vote (2023: 13.0%) Majority 0%
CHA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 8.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.6% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About María de Huerva

María de Huerva is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 6,168 inhabitants, the 14th largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 35% of the vote and 5 seats; PMDH was second with 4. 65.7% of the 4,324 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 35.0% → 35.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PMDHSumar, Podemos and allies 28.4% → 24.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 13.0% → 20.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. CHALocal lists 8.5% → 9.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 7.1% → 4.6% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. PARLocal lists 3.1% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,840 valid votes including 64 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near María de Huerva in size, in Zaragoza

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