La Muela: no list would have a majority, CHA largest
La Muela (Zaragoza, 6,247 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 87%no list with a majority
- 2,675valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CHA±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 39.1% of the vote (2023: 39.7%)
Majority 13%
VOX+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 29.9% of the vote (2023: 21.4%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 18.5%)
Majority 0%
IU±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 11.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CHALocal lists 39.7% → 39.1% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 21.4% → 29.9% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 18.5% → 16.7% 3 → 2 councillors
- IUSumar, Podemos and allies 11.4% → 8.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- FIALocal lists 3.1% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 4.1% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,675 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.