Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Muela: no list would have a majority, CHA largest

La Muela (Zaragoza, 6,247 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CHA±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.1% of the vote (2023: 39.7%) Majority 13%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.9% of the vote (2023: 21.4%) Majority 0%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 18.5%) Majority 0%
IU±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Muela

La Muela is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 6,247 inhabitants, the 13th largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CHA came first with 39.7% of the vote and 6 seats; VOX was second with 3. 60.8% of the 4,397 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CHA would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CHALocal lists 39.7% → 39.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. VOXVox 21.4% → 29.9% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 18.5% → 16.7% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. IUSumar, Podemos and allies 11.4% → 8.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. FIALocal lists 3.1% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PSOEPSOE 4.1% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,675 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Muela in size, in Zaragoza

Every municipality in Zaragoza → · All of Spain →