Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Burgo de Ebro: PSOE would keep its majority

El Burgo de Ebro (Zaragoza, 2,591 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 49.9% of the vote (2023: 54.5%) Majority 77%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.6% of the vote (2023: 35.6%) Majority 3%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 12.4% of the vote (2023: 6.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 54.5% → 49.9% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 35.6% → 34.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.9% → 12.4% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,386 valid votes including 43 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Burgo de Ebro in size, in Zaragoza

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