Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cariñena: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Cariñena (Zaragoza, 3,345 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.6% of the vote (2023: 47.3%) Majority 21%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.5% of the vote (2023: 25.3%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.5% of the vote (2023: 16.0%) Majority 0%
CHA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.6% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cariñena

Cariñena is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 3,345 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 47.3% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 3. 74.8% of the 2,394 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 47.3% → 41.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 25.3% → 23.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 16.0% → 23.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CHALocal lists 9.6% → 9.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PARLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,791 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cariñena in size, in Zaragoza

Every municipality in Zaragoza → · All of Spain →