Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Calatorao: PP would win a majority

Calatorao (Zaragoza, 2,882 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 47.9% of the vote (2023: 48.0%) Majority 54%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 46.2% of the vote (2023: 49.8%) Majority 46%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 48.0% → 47.9% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 49.8% → 46.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 0.6% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,387 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Calatorao in size, in Zaragoza

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