Guarrate: UPG would keep its majority
Guarrate (Zamora, 315 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 82%UPG majority
- 224valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
UPG±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 51.4% of the vote (2023: 48.2%)
Majority 82%
PSOE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 27.1% of the vote (2023: 29.9%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 20.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UPGLocal lists 48.2% → 51.4% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 29.9% → 27.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 20.1% → 19.7% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 224 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.