El Cubo de Tierra del Vino: no list would have a majority, PP largest
El Cubo de Tierra del Vino (Zamora, 321 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 50%PP majority
- 242valid votes in 2023 (86% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Cubo de Tierra del Vino
El Cubo de Tierra del Vino is a municipality in the province of Zamora with 321 inhabitants, the 86th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 47.5% of the vote and 3 seats; 'CUBO DEL VINO' was second with 3. 86.1% of the 281 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 47.5% → 47.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- 'CUBO DEL VINO'Local lists 36.4% → 38.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 15.7% → 13.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 242 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.