Cobreros: F would keep its majority
Cobreros (Zamora, 543 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 97%F majority
- 395valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cobreros
Cobreros is a municipality in the province of Zamora with 543 inhabitants, the 38th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 F came first with 54.7% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 81.1% of the 487 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps F on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- FLocal lists 54.7% → 56.9% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 31.4% → 30.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 10.4% → 10.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 1.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 395 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.